La Liga, round 12 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Villarreal — Getafe
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Villarreal are clear favourites: 70% against 10% for the opponent, draw 20%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Villarreal are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
- Villarreal are 162 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Villarreal — No. 9, 12 pts; Getafe — No. 13, 12 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Villarreal 2 wins, Getafe 1, 2 draws.
- Days of rest before the match: Villarreal 5, Getafe 7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Villarreal — Getafe What is xG? | 1.9–0.7 | |
| Villarreal not to lose | 90% | |
| Getafe not to lose | 30% | |
| No draw | 80% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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- Handicap Villarreal
- Villarreal goals
- Getafe goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Villarreal | Getafe |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| xG per match | 1.81 | 1.05 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.07 | 1.21 |
| Shots | 16.8 | 13.5 |
| On target | 5.5 | 4.5 |
| Corners | 5.9 | 5.4 |
| Cards | 2.2 | 3.3 |
| Possession, % | 57 | 42 |
Form
- 03.11Paris Saint-Germain0:6
- 30.10Espanyol0:1
- 27.10away · CD Manacor5:0
- 24.10away · Valencia2:1
- 20.10away · Liverpool3:4
- 01.11Sevilla3:1
- 29.10away · UB Lebrijana3:2
- 25.10away · Athletic Club0:4
- 22.10Lugano2:5
- 19.10Rayo Vallecano1:1
Head to head
- 14.02.2026Getafe — Villarreal2:1
- 06.12.2025Villarreal — Getafe2:0
- 30.03.2025Getafe — Villarreal1:2
- 20.10.2024Villarreal — Getafe1:1
- 16.02.2024Villarreal — Getafe1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Deportivo A Coruña | 11 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 | Getafe | 11 | 3 | -8 | 12 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 11 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
La Liga on the same day
- 3129402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- 5227211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 6223151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 2628462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →