EFL Championship, round 14 · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK
Charlton Athletic — Bolton Wanderers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 3 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Charlton Athletic 37%, Bolton Wanderers 34%, draw 29%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Charlton Athletic — Bolton Wanderers What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| Charlton Athletic not to lose | 66% | |
| Bolton Wanderers not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Charlton Athletic
- Charlton Athletic goals
- Bolton Wanderers goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10away · Burnley2:2
- 10.10Bristol City1:1
- 19.09away · Cardiff City1:3
- 12.09Portsmouth0:0
- 09.09Queens Park Rangers0:0
- 13.10away · Wolverhampton Wanderers3:1
- 10.10Stoke City1:2
- 20.09away · Norwich City4:3
- 12.09Cardiff City1:0
- 08.09West Ham United2:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic | 10 | 3 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Bolton Wanderers | 10 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Sheffield United | 9 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
Championship on the same day
- Blackburn RoversStoke Citypreliminary5027221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- Derby CountyNorwich Citypreliminary3829341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- PortsmouthSwansea Citypreliminary3829341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- Preston North EndSheffield Unitedpreliminary3228402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Queens Park RangersBurnleypreliminary3829331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- WatfordLincoln Citypreliminary333037XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.3
- Birmingham CityMillwallpreliminary4628261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- West Bromwich AlbionSouthamptonpreliminary3429372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →