FA Cup · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Chesterfield — Yeovil Town
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Chesterfield are slightly stronger: 45% against 29%, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Chesterfield are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Chesterfield are 124 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Chesterfield — Yeovil Town What is xG? | 1.6–1.2 | |
| Chesterfield not to lose | 71% | |
| Yeovil Town not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Chesterfield
- Chesterfield goals
- Yeovil Town goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 08.08away · Fleetwood Town0:1
- 06.12Doncaster Rovers1:2
- 01.11away · Stevenage1:0
- 12.08Mansfield Town0:2
- 30.11away · Exeter City0:2
- 03.12away · Wrexham0:3
- 04.11Gateshead FC3:2
- 08.01AFC Bournemouth1:3
- 04.12Stevenage1:0
- 06.11away · Yate Town5:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
FA Cup on the same day
- 3727371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 6022171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2626482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 4027341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →