Brazilian Serie B, round 37 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Cuiabá — Juventude
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In short
Cuiabá are slightly stronger: 39% against 31%, draw 29%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cuiabá are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Cuiabá — No. 13, 47 pts; Juventude — No. 2, 65 pts. A gap of 18 pts.
- Cuiabá: 4 defeats in a row; Juventude: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Cuiabá 2 wins, Juventude 1, 2 draws.
- Days of rest before the match: Cuiabá 6, Juventude 8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cuiabá — Juventude What is xG? | 1.2–1.0 | |
| Cuiabá not to lose | 69% | |
| Juventude not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 40% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 60% |
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Cuiabá | Juventude |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| xG per match | 1.62 | 1.67 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.09 | 1.15 |
| Shots | 17.6 | 15.3 |
| On target | 4.8 | 5.4 |
| Corners | 7.3 | 4.0 |
| Cards | 1.7 | 3.2 |
| Possession, % | 55 | 50 |
Form
- 02.11São Bernardo1:2
- 27.10away · América-MG0:1
- 21.10away · Londrina0:1
- 12.10Avaí0:1
- 08.10away · Vila Nova0:0
- 31.10away · Vila Nova2:2
- 27.10Náutico4:0
- 17.10away · Ceará2:2
- 11.10São Bernardo2:2
- 07.10away · Ponte Preta2:0
Head to head
- 18.07.2026Juventude — Cuiabá2:0
- 24.11.2024Juventude — Cuiabá1:1
- 06.09.2024Cuiabá — Juventude0:0
- 14.08.2022Cuiabá — Juventude1:0
- 25.04.2022Juventude — Cuiabá0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Promotion | Novorizontino | 36 | 19 | +33 | 67 |
| 2, Promotion | Juventude | 36 | 18 | +22 | 65 |
| 3, Promotion play-offs | Vila Nova | 36 | 18 | +14 | 63 |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 36 | 13 | +2 | 48 |
| 13 | Cuiabá | 36 | 11 | +3 | 47 |
| 14 | Athletic Club MG | 36 | 11 | +1 | 47 |
Brasileirao Serie B on the same day
- 343134XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.2
- 2726472The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- 3029412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →