Brazilian Serie B, round 37 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Náutico — CRB
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
CRB are slightly stronger: 47% against 27%, draw 26%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings CRB are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- In recent matches the betting market rated CRB higher than the model did — the forecast takes it into account.
Facts
- League table: Náutico — No. 15, 46 pts; CRB — No. 8, 55 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- Days of rest before the match: Náutico 7, CRB 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Náutico — CRB What is xG? | 1.3–1.6 | |
| Náutico not to lose | 53% | |
| CRB not to lose | 73% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Náutico | CRB |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| xG per match | 1.24 | 1.86 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.92 | 1.10 |
| Shots | 15.1 | 24.8 |
| On target | 3.8 | 8.3 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 7.3 |
| Cards | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| Possession, % | 53 | 55 |
Form
- 01.11Avaí1:0
- 27.10away · Juventude0:4
- 20.10away · Goiás0:0
- 11.10Vila Nova0:2
- 09.10Novorizontino0:2
- 03.11away · Goiás1:2
- 25.10Londrina2:1
- 18.10Botafogo SP0:1
- 12.10away · Fortaleza2:2
- 08.10Atlético-GO3:1
Head to head
- 17.07.2026CRB — Náutico2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atlético-GO | 36 | 14 | +9 | 55 |
| 8 | CRB | 36 | 16 | +3 | 55 |
| 9 | Goiás | 36 | 16 | -3 | 55 |
| 14 | Athletic Club MG | 36 | 11 | +1 | 47 |
| 15 | Náutico | 36 | 12 | -6 | 46 |
| 16 | Ceará | 36 | 11 | -8 | 43 |
Brasileirao Serie B on the same day
- 3929311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- 343134XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.2
- 3029412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →