French Ligue 2, round 12 · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Dunkerque — Guingamp
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Dunkerque 34%, Guingamp 36%, draw 30%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Guingamp are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Dunkerque are 119 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Dunkerque — No. 12, 8 pts; Guingamp — No. 13, 8 pts.
- Guingamp: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Dunkerque 1 win, Guingamp 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dunkerque — Guingamp What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| Dunkerque not to lose | 64% | |
| Guingamp not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Dunkerque
- Dunkerque goals
- Guingamp goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10Annecy FC0:1
- 18.09away · Pau0:2
- 12.09Saint-Étienne2:1
- 04.09Clermont Foot1:1
- 28.08away · Nancy0:2
Head to head
- 06.02.2026Dunkerque — Guingamp0:0
- 23.09.2025Guingamp — Dunkerque2:1
- 07.04.2025Dunkerque — Guingamp3:1
- 04.01.2025Guingamp — Dunkerque1:1
- 13.04.2024Dunkerque — Guingamp0:1
Table
Ligue 2 on the same day
- BoulogneAnnecy FCpreliminary4231271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- DijonRed Starpreliminary3228412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
- GrenobleReimspreliminary2929412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.5
- NancySochauxpreliminary4928231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →