French Ligue 2, round 12 · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Nancy — Sochaux
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Nancy are clear favourites: 49% against 23% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Nancy are 85 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Nancy — No. 4, 16 pts; Sochaux — No. 9, 11 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Nancy: 3 wins in a row; Sochaux: unbeaten in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Nancy — Sochaux What is xG? | 1.5–0.9 | |
| Nancy not to lose | 77% | |
| Sochaux not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Nancy
- Nancy goals
- Sochaux goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10Boulogne1:1
- 18.09away · Laval1:1
- 12.09Nantes1:0
- 04.09away · Pau1:1
- 28.08away · Clermont Foot0:0
Head to head
- 20.01.2021Nancy — Sochaux0:1
Table
Ligue 2 on the same day
- BoulogneAnnecy FCpreliminary4231271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- DijonRed Starpreliminary3228412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
- DunkerqueGuingamppreliminary343036XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.8
- GrenobleReimspreliminary2929412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →