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French Ligue 2, round 12 · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)

Grenoble — Reims

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Model prediction for 6 November

Grenoble29%
Draw29%
Reims41%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Reims are slightly stronger: 41% against 29%, draw 29%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 53%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Reims are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
  • Reims are 93 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: Grenoble — No. 15, 8 pts; Reims — No. 2, 17 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
  • Reims: unbeaten in 5.
  • Last 2 meetings: Grenoble 1 win, Reims 0, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Grenoble — Reims What is xG?1.1–1.4
Grenoble not to lose59%
Reims not to lose71%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes53%
Both teams to score: no47%
Total over 2.548%
Total under 2.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Grenoble
  • Grenoble goals
  • Reims goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Grenoble

  • 16.10Boulogne0:2
  • 09.10away · Montpellier0:2
  • 18.09Clermont Foot1:1
  • 11.09away · Rodez1:0
  • 04.09Annecy FC1:2

Reims

  • 16.10Dijon4:2
  • 10.10away · Nantes0:0
  • 18.09Montpellier1:1
  • 11.09away · Nancy2:1
  • 05.09Guingamp2:2

Head to head

  • 14.02.2026Grenoble — Reims0:0
  • 04.10.2025Reims — Grenoble2:4

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, PromotionSaint-Étienne861121–8+1319
2, PromotionReims945019–11+817
3, Promotion play-offsRed Star852112–9+317
14Nantes82249–13-48
15Grenoble92258–15-78
16, Relegation play-offClermont Foot90729–12-37

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ligue 2 on the same day

  • BoulogneAnnecy FCpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
  • DijonRed Starpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
  • DunkerqueGuingamppreliminary
    XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.8
  • NancySochauxpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →