Ukrainian Premier League, round 8 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Valeriy Lobanovskyi
Dynamo Kyiv — Karpaty
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:0Came true
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Dynamo Kyiv to win (50%), came true.
Dynamo Kyiv are clear favourites: 50% against 23% for the opponent, draw 27%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Dynamo Kyiv are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Last 4 meetings: Dynamo Kyiv 2 wins, Karpaty 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dynamo Kyiv — Karpaty What is xG? | 1.7–1.2 | |
| Dynamo Kyiv not to lose | 77% | |
| Karpaty not to lose | 50% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Dynamo Kyiv
- Dynamo Kyiv goals
- Karpaty goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 19.09away · Zorya2:0
- 14.09Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi3:0
- 06.09LNZ Cherkasy0:0
- 31.08away · Bukovyna Chernivtsi0:3
- 16.08FC Kolos Kovalivka2:1
- 20.09Veres Rivne1:1
- 11.09away · FC Kolos Kovalivka2:0
- 05.09Shakhtar Donetsk1:2
- 29.08away · Liviy Bereh1:1
- 15.08Bukovyna Chernivtsi3:0
Head to head
- 04.04.2026Dynamo Kyiv — Karpaty0:1
- 27.09.2025Karpaty — Dynamo Kyiv3:3
- 23.02.2025Dynamo Kyiv — Karpaty2:0
- 17.08.2024Karpaty — Dynamo Kyiv1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Europa League or Conference League | Polissya Zhytomyr | 8 | 6 | +10 | 19 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Dynamo Kyiv | 7 | 5 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Kharkiv | 7 | 5 | +9 | 15 |
| 5 | Karpaty | 8 | 4 | +9 | 14 |
| 6 | Zorya | 8 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
Next matches
- Polissya ZhytomyrDynamo Kyiv18 October · Ukrainian Premier League383031XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7
- KarpatyEpitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi18 October · Ukrainian Premier League6224141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
Ukrainian Premier League on the same day
- 6524121The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
- 1831522The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 0:2.1.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →