Segunda Division, round 11 · Monday, 26 October, MSK
FC Andorra — Burgos CF
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 26 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
FC Andorra are clear favourites: 47% against 26% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Andorra are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Andorra — Burgos CF What is xG? | 1.3–0.9 | |
| FC Andorra not to lose | 74% | |
| Burgos CF not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 40% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Andorra
- FC Andorra goals
- Burgos CF goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Castellón1:0
- 04.10away · Sabadell0:0
- 26.09away · Granada3:2
- 19.09Sporting Gijón1:3
- 12.09Real Sociedad B1:3
- 12.10Granada0:1
- 03.10away · Almería1:2
- 27.09Eldense1:0
- 20.09away · Las Palmas2:1
- 11.09AD Ceuta FC3:1
Head to head
- 31.05.2026Burgos CF — FC Andorra1:0
- 31.08.2025FC Andorra — Burgos CF2:1
- 18.05.2024FC Andorra — Burgos CF1:0
- 25.11.2023Burgos CF — FC Andorra0:0
- 15.01.2023Burgos CF — FC Andorra2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Girona | 9 | 4 | +6 | 15 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 9 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 | Real Oviedo | 9 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 16 | Leganés | 9 | 3 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 | FC Andorra | 9 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 18 | Córdoba | 9 | 3 | -6 | 9 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →