Segunda Division, round 13 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
FC Andorra — Mallorca
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In short
Evenly matched: FC Andorra 34%, Mallorca 38%, draw 28%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Andorra are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- In recent matches the betting market rated Mallorca higher than the model did — the forecast takes it into account.
Facts
- League table: FC Andorra — No. 20, 10 pts; Mallorca — No. 5, 22 pts. A gap of 12 pts.
- Mallorca: unbeaten in 5.
- Days of rest before the match: FC Andorra 10, Mallorca 6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Andorra — Mallorca What is xG? | 1.3–1.3 | |
| FC Andorra not to lose | 62% | |
| Mallorca not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Andorra
- FC Andorra goals
- Mallorca goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | FC Andorra | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| xG per match | 1.35 | 1.55 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.32 | 1.22 |
| Shots | 14.7 | 13.4 |
| On target | 5.2 | 4.2 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 5.8 |
| Cards | 3.0 | 3.2 |
| Possession, % | 62 | 54 |
Form
- 29.10away · CD Varea3:0
- 26.10Burgos CF2:3
- 18.10away · Girona0:2
- 11.10Castellón1:0
- 04.10away · Sabadell0:0
- 02.11Cádiz2:1
- 24.10away · Leganés1:1
- 17.10away · Eibar1:1
- 11.10Las Palmas3:1
- 04.10away · Girona0:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Promotion play-offs | Granada | 12 | 7 | +6 | 23 |
| 5, Promotion play-offs | Mallorca | 12 | 6 | +8 | 22 |
| 6, Promotion play-offs | Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7 | 0 | 22 |
| 19, Relegation | Cádiz | 12 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 20, Relegation | FC Andorra | 11 | 3 | -5 | 10 |
| 21, Relegation | Albacete | 12 | 2 | -13 | 7 |
Segunda Division on the same day
- 4427291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 3830321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 4029311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →