Segunda Division, round 13 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Las Palmas — Eldense
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Evenly matched: Las Palmas 38%, Eldense 32%, draw 30%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Las Palmas are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Las Palmas are 186 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Las Palmas — No. 11, 17 pts; Eldense — No. 15, 14 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Las Palmas: 3 wins in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Las Palmas — Eldense What is xG? | 1.3–1.2 | |
| Las Palmas not to lose | 68% | |
| Eldense not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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- Handicap Las Palmas
- Las Palmas goals
- Eldense goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Las Palmas | Eldense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| xG per match | 0.83 | 1.46 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.66 | 1.17 |
| Shots | 9.6 | 13.4 |
| On target | 3.5 | 4.4 |
| Corners | 4.2 | 5.3 |
| Cards | 3.3 | 2.3 |
| Possession, % | 50 | 52 |
Form
- 02.11away · Real Oviedo3:2
- 27.10away · RSD Alcalá3:1
- 24.10Real Sociedad B1:0
- 17.10Castellón0:3
- 11.10away · Mallorca1:3
- 01.11Granada0:2
- 29.10away · Atlético Baleares1:0
- 25.10away · Albacete0:2
- 18.10away · Real Valladolid3:2
- 10.10Córdoba2:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sabadell | 12 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 12 | 5 | -4 | 17 |
| 12 | Córdoba | 12 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| 14 | Tenerife | 11 | 3 | -2 | 14 |
| 15 | Eldense | 12 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta Fortuna | 12 | 3 | -5 | 13 |
Segunda Division on the same day
- 3428382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
- 4427291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 4029311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →