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Segunda Division, round 13 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Sporting Gijón — Real Valladolid

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Model prediction for 8 November

Sporting Gijón40%
Draw29%
Real Valladolid31%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Sporting Gijón are slightly stronger: 40% against 31%, draw 29%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 53%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Sporting Gijón are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
  • Sporting Gijón are 175 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: Sporting Gijón — No. 6, 22 pts; Real Valladolid — No. 13, 15 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Sporting Gijón 1 win, Real Valladolid 2, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Sporting Gijón — Real Valladolid What is xG?1.4–1.1
Sporting Gijón not to lose69%
Real Valladolid not to lose60%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes53%
Both teams to score: no47%
Total over 2.546%
Total under 2.554%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Sporting Gijón
  • Sporting Gijón goals
  • Real Valladolid goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatSporting GijónReal Valladolid
Goals scored per match1.22.0
Goals conceded per match1.31.6
xG per match1.171.85
Opponents’ xG1.131.33
Shots12.213.9
On target4.16.0
Corners3.85.1
Cards3.23.1
Possession, %5149

Averages per match: Sporting Gijón — the last 10, Real Valladolid — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Sporting Gijón

  • 01.11away · AD Ceuta FC2:0
  • 29.10away · Guijuelo3:1
  • 25.10away · Castellón0:4
  • 17.10Albacete2:1
  • 11.10away · Cádiz1:0

Real Valladolid

  • 02.11Leganés4:3
  • 29.10away · CD Covadonga1:0
  • 23.10away · Granada1:2
  • 18.10Eldense2:3
  • 12.10Albacete5:0

Head to head

  • 22.02.2026Sporting Gijón — Real Valladolid2:2
  • 19.10.2025Real Valladolid — Sporting Gijón2:3
  • 17.02.2024Sporting Gijón — Real Valladolid1:1
  • 11.08.2023Real Valladolid — Sporting Gijón2:0
  • 28.01.2022Real Valladolid — Sporting Gijón1:0

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
5, Promotion play-offsMallorca1264215–7+822
6, Promotion play-offsSporting Gijón1271413–13022
7Girona1263322–11+1121
12Córdoba1251619–22-316
13Real Valladolid1243520–19+115
14Tenerife1135313–15-214

Season 2026/27

Full table

Segunda Division on the same day

  • FC AndorraMallorca
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
  • GironaAlmería
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
  • Las PalmasEldense
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →