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K League 1 (South Korea), round 34 · Sunday, 1 November, (UTC+3) · Anyang Stadium

FC Anyang — Bucheon FC 1995

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Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
FC Anyang55%
Draw28%
Bucheon FC 199517%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, FC Anyang to win (55%), came true.

FC Anyang are clear favourites: 55% against 17% for the opponent, draw 28%.

2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 54%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings FC Anyang are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
  • FC Anyang are 188 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

  • FC Anyang: unbeaten in 5; Bucheon FC 1995: 4 defeats in a row.
  • Last 3 meetings: FC Anyang 1 win, Bucheon FC 1995 1, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: FC Anyang — Bucheon FC 1995 What is xG?1.7–0.9
FC Anyang not to lose83%
Bucheon FC 1995 not to lose45%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes54%
Both teams to score: no46%
Total over 2.550%
Total under 2.550%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap FC Anyang
  • FC Anyang goals
  • Bucheon FC 1995 goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Match events

  1. 27′Jong-Woo Kim · Bucheon FC 1995
  2. 33′Ye-Geon Sung · Bucheon FC 1995
  3. 39′Jeong-In Park · Bucheon FC 19950:1
  4. 55′Sung-Wook Hong · own goal · FC Anyang1:1
  5. 81′Breno Herculano · FC Anyang
  6. 89′Kyung-Won Kwon · FC Anyang2:1
Substitutions (8)
  1. 66′Geon-Joo Choi ↔ Hyun-Woo Chae · FC Anyang
  2. 66′Breno Herculano ↔ Woon Kim · FC Anyang
  3. 72′Galego ↔ Seung-Bin Kim · Bucheon FC 1995
  4. 72′Gustavo Nescau ↔ Jeong-In Park · Bucheon FC 1995
  5. 80′Sang-Jun Kim ↔ Jong-Woo Kim · Bucheon FC 1995
  6. 81′Jin-Yong Lee ↔ Ji-Hun Kang · FC Anyang
  7. 86′Jeong-Hyun Kim ↔ Branislav Knežević · FC Anyang
  8. 87′Jeong-Wan Yu ↔ Ivan Jukić · FC Anyang

Match statistics

FC AnyangBucheon FC 1995
  • 58Possession, %42
  • 14Shots7
  • 7On target4
  • 4Corners1
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0

Lineups

Minutes — how long the player played, if under 90; on the right — the player’s match rating.

FC Anyang

  1. GKJeong-Hoon Kim
  2. DFKyung-Won Kwon
  3. DFJi-Hun Kang81′
  4. DFDong-Jin Kim
  5. DFDanny Bakker
  6. DFJi-Hun Kim
  7. MFMatheus Oliveira Santos
  8. MFBranislav Knežević86′
  9. FWHyun-Woo Chae66′
  10. FWIvan Jukić87′
  11. FWWoon Kim66′
Came on (5)
  1. FWBreno Herculano24′
  2. FWGeon-Joo Choi24′
  3. MFJeong-Hyun Kim4′
  4. MFJin-Yong Lee9′
  5. MFJeong-Wan Yu3′

Bucheon FC 1995

  1. GKHyeon-Yeop Kim
  2. DFHo-Jin Jeong
  3. DFSung-Wook Hong
  4. DFDong-Gyu Baek
  5. MFThiaguinho Santos
  6. MFTae-Hyun An
  7. MFJong-Woo Kim80′
  8. MFYe-Geon Sung
  9. FWSeung-Bin Kim72′
  10. FWRodrigo Bassani da Cruz
  11. FWJeong-In Park72′
Came on (3)
  1. FWGalego18′
  2. FWGustavo Nescau18′
  3. MFSang-Jun Kim10′

Form

FC Anyang

  • 24.10Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC1:1
  • 18.10away · Pohang Steelers0:0
  • 10.10away · Gimcheon Sangmu1:0
  • 19.09Ulsan HD FC2:1
  • 13.09away · Gwangju FC1:1

Bucheon FC 1995

  • 24.10Gwangju FC0:3
  • 17.10away · Ulsan HD FC1:2
  • 09.10away · Gangwon FC0:2
  • 19.09Gimcheon Sangmu0:2
  • 12.09Jeju SK2:2

Head to head

  • 29.08.2026Bucheon FC 1995 — FC Anyang1:1
  • 22.07.2026Bucheon FC 1995 — FC Anyang2:3
  • 02.05.2026FC Anyang — Bucheon FC 19950:1

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
7, Relegation roundJeju SK3412111140–38+247
8, Relegation roundFC Anyang3411131042–49-746
9, Relegation roundPohang Steelers3411101331–40-943
10, Relegation roundGimcheon Sangmu34520934–42-835
11, Relegation roundBucheon FC 1995347111633–49-1632
12, Relegation play-offGwangju FC343131831–70-3922

Season 2026

Full table

Next matches

K League 1 on the same day

  • Ulsan HD FCGangwon FC
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.6
  • Pohang SteelersJeju SK
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.4
  • FC SeoulIncheon United
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →