PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Accounts and Premium are not available in your country; every forecast is open. New forecasts every day — in our Telegram channel.

K League 1 (South Korea), round 34 · Sunday, 1 November, (UTC+3) · Seoul World Cup Stadium

FC Seoul — Incheon United

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

0:1Missed
FC Seoul51%
Draw29%
Incheon United20%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, FC Seoul to win (51%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 51% fails in about 49 matches out of 100 on average.

FC Seoul are clear favourites: 51% against 20% for the opponent, draw 29%.

2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings FC Seoul are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
  • FC Seoul are 177 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

  • Incheon United: unbeaten in 5.
  • Last 5 meetings: FC Seoul 5 wins, Incheon United 0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: FC Seoul — Incheon United What is xG?1.6–1.0
FC Seoul not to lose80%
Incheon United not to lose49%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.551%
Total under 2.549%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap FC Seoul
  • FC Seoul goals
  • Incheon United goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Match events

  1. 64′Juan Ibiza · Incheon United
  2. 96′Gerso Fernandes · Incheon United0:1
Substitutions (9)
  1. 46′Han-Do Lee ↔ Hyeon-Woo Jeong · FC Seoul
  2. 46′Seon-Min Moon ↔ Sang-Min Lee · FC Seoul
  3. 47′Dong-Ryul Lee ↔ Leandro · Incheon United
  4. 62′Do-Yoon Hwang ↔ Young-Wook Cho · FC Seoul
  5. 69′Morgan Ferrier ↔ Stefan Mugoša · Incheon United
  6. 82′Gerso Fernandes ↔ Seong-Min Kim · Incheon United
  7. 82′Leonardo Ruiz ↔ Jeong-Beom Son · FC Seoul
  8. 85′Min-Hyuk Lee ↔ Myung-Soon Kim · Incheon United
  9. 86′Seung-Gu Choi ↔ Myeong-Ju Lee · Incheon United

Match statistics

FC SeoulIncheon United
  • 47Possession, %53
  • 3Shots12
  • 1On target6
  • 2Corners2
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0

Lineups

Minutes — how long the player played, if under 90; on the right — the player’s match rating.

FC Seoul

  1. GKSung-Yun Gu
  2. DFYazan Abu Al-Arab
  3. DFJun Choi
  4. DFSoo-Il Park
  5. DFSang-Min Lee46′
  6. MFJeong-Beom Son82′
  7. MFHrvoje Babec
  8. MFHyeon-Woo Jeong46′
  9. FWPatryk Klimala
  10. FWSeung-Won Jung
  11. FWYoung-Wook Cho62′
Came on (4)
  1. FWLeonardo Ruiz8′
  2. MFSeon-Min Moon44′
  3. DFHan-Do Lee44′
  4. MFDo-Yoon Hwang28′

Incheon United

  1. GKTae-Hee Lee
  2. DFJuan Ibiza
  3. DFMyung-Soon Kim85′
  4. DFJu-Yong Lee
  5. DFGun-Hee Kim
  6. MFSeong-Min Kim82′
  7. MFMyeong-Ju Lee86′
  8. MFJae-Min Seo
  9. FWStefan Mugoša69′
  10. FWChung-Yong Lee
  11. FWLeandro47′
Came on (5)
  1. MFMin-Hyuk Lee5′
  2. MFGerso Fernandes8′
  3. FWMorgan Ferrier21′
  4. DFSeung-Gu Choi4′
  5. MFDong-Ryul Lee43′

Form

FC Seoul

  • 24.10Gangwon FC1:1
  • 18.10Gimcheon Sangmu2:2
  • 10.10Jeju SK2:1
  • 20.09away · Pohang Steelers1:2
  • 12.09away · Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC2:1

Incheon United

  • 24.10Jeju SK3:1
  • 18.10away · Gangwon FC1:1
  • 09.10Pohang Steelers3:0
  • 27.09away · Gangwon FC0:0
  • 20.09Daejeon Hana Citizen1:1

Head to head

  • 05.09.2026FC Seoul — Incheon United1:0
  • 05.07.2026FC Seoul — Incheon United1:0
  • 28.02.2026Incheon United — FC Seoul1:2
  • 27.07.2024Incheon United — FC Seoul0:1
  • 11.05.2024Incheon United — FC Seoul1:2

Full record: 10 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, Championship roundFC Seoul34207761–30+3167
2, Championship roundUlsan HD FC341661254–48+654
4, Championship roundJeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC341213943–33+1049
5, Championship roundIncheon United3413101144–35+949
6, Championship roundGangwon FC341115841–32+948

Season 2026

Full table

Next matches

K League 1 on the same day

  • Ulsan HD FCGangwon FC
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.6
  • Pohang SteelersJeju SK
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.4
  • FC AnyangBucheon FC 1995
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →