Eredivisie (Netherlands), round 13 · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
FC Utrecht — Cambuur
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
FC Utrecht are clear favourites: 52% against 22% for the opponent, draw 26%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Utrecht are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- FC Utrecht are 97 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: FC Utrecht — No. 12, 12 pts; Cambuur — No. 9, 15 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Cambuur: unbeaten in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Utrecht — Cambuur What is xG? | 1.9–1.3 | |
| FC Utrecht not to lose | 78% | |
| Cambuur not to lose | 48% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Utrecht
- FC Utrecht goals
- Cambuur goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | FC Utrecht | Cambuur |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| xG per match | 1.33 | 1.47 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.88 | 1.55 |
| Shots | 13.9 | 12.9 |
| On target | 4.2 | 5.5 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 4.0 |
| Cards | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Possession, % | 48 | 47 |
Form
- 01.11away · Telstar2:4
- 24.10PEC Zwolle1:1
- 18.10away · FC Twente2:1
- 11.10Willem II3:1
- 20.09away · Feyenoord0:5
- 31.10Go Ahead Eagles4:0
- 24.10away · Willem II6:1
- 18.10AZ Alkmaar2:2
- 11.10away · PEC Zwolle1:0
- 19.09away · ADO Den Haag1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | FC Groningen | 11 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Cambuur | 11 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | FC Utrecht | 11 | 3 | -12 | 12 |
| 13 | NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2 | -2 | 11 |
Eredivisie on the same day
- NEC NijmegenPSV Eindhovenpreliminary1824582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.7
- FeyenoordExcelsiorpreliminary861041The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.8
- TelstarPEC Zwollepreliminary4626281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- FC GroningenSC Heerenveenpreliminary4027331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →