UEFA Europa League, round 2 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Groupama Aréna
Ferencváros — Viktoria Plzeň
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Ferencváros are slightly stronger: 46% against 28%, draw 26%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ferencváros — Viktoria Plzeň What is xG? | 1.6–1.2 | |
| Ferencváros not to lose | 72% | |
| Viktoria Plzeň not to lose | 54% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Ferencváros
- Ferencváros goals
- Viktoria Plzeň goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 17.09away · Celtic3:1
- 18.03away · Braga0:4
- 12.03Braga2:0
- 26.02Ludogorets Razgrad2:0
- 19.02away · Ludogorets Razgrad1:2
- 17.09Union St.Gilloise0:3
- 26.02Panathinaikos1:1
- 19.02away · Panathinaikos2:2
- 29.01away · Basel1:0
- 22.01FC Porto1:1
Head to head
- 25.09.2025Ferencváros — Viktoria Plzeň1:1
- 20.02.2025Viktoria Plzeň — Ferencváros3:0
- 13.02.2025Ferencváros — Viktoria Plzeň1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Straight to the round of 16 | Union St.Gilloise | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 6, Straight to the round of 16 | Ferencváros | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 7, Straight to the round of 16 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 33 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | -3 | 0 |
| 34 | Viktoria Plzeň | 1 | 0 | -3 | 0 |
| 35 | Lech Poznań | 1 | 0 | -4 | 0 |
Europa League on the same day
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- 6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- 3226412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 4026341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 5723201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2926452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →