UEFA Champions League, round 4 · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK

Feyenoord — Inter

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Model prediction for 3 November

Feyenoord27%
Draw26%
Inter47%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Inter are clear favourites: 47% against 27% for the opponent, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.5.

Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Inter are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Feyenoord — Inter What is xG?1.2–1.6
Feyenoord not to lose53%
Inter not to lose73%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.553%
Total under 2.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Feyenoord
  • Feyenoord goals
  • Inter goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Feyenoord

  • 10.10AZ Alkmaar2:0
  • 20.09FC Utrecht5:0
  • 13.09away · PEC Zwolle7:0
  • 09.09away · Barcelona1:5
  • 05.09away · NEC Nijmegen3:1

Inter

  • 13.10Club Brugge3:4
  • 10.10Parma3:0
  • 19.09away · Roma2:2
  • 14.09Udinese5:3
  • 08.09away · Real Madrid1:2

Head to head

  • 11.03.2025Inter — Feyenoord2:1
  • 05.03.2025Feyenoord — Inter0:2

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
27LASK10010–1-10
28Inter20024–6-20
29FC Porto10010–2-20
32Lille20022–6-40
33Feyenoord10011–5-40
34Galatasaray20022–7-50

Season 2026/27

Full table

Champions League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →