Fiorentina — Juventus
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Juventus are slightly stronger: 40% against 31%, draw 29%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Juventus are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Fiorentina — No. 16, 8 pts; Juventus — No. 7, 17 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Fiorentina 2 wins, Juventus 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Fiorentina — Juventus What is xG? | 1.2–1.4 | |
| Fiorentina not to lose | 60% | |
| Juventus not to lose | 69% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Fiorentina
- Fiorentina goals
- Juventus goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Fiorentina | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| xG per match | 1.71 | 1.63 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.20 | 0.86 |
| Shots | 16.8 | 15.4 |
| On target | 5.3 | 5.2 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 6.7 |
| Cards | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Possession, % | 47 | 57 |
Form
- 02.11away · Sassuolo4:2
- 29.10Atalanta2:2
- 25.10away · Inter1:2
- 18.10Como1:3
- 10.10away · Genoa1:2
Head to head
- 17.05.2026Juventus — Fiorentina0:2
- 22.11.2025Fiorentina — Juventus1:1
- 16.03.2025Fiorentina — Juventus3:0
- 29.12.2024Juventus — Fiorentina2:2
- 07.04.2024Juventus — Fiorentina1:0
Table
Serie A on the same day
- 4329281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 1828542The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
- 2526492The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
- 5326211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →