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Serie A, round 11 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Fiorentina — Juventus

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Model prediction for 8 November

Fiorentina31%
Draw29%
Juventus40%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Juventus are slightly stronger: 40% against 31%, draw 29%.

2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Juventus are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Fiorentina — No. 16, 8 pts; Juventus — No. 7, 17 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Fiorentina 2 wins, Juventus 1, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Fiorentina — Juventus What is xG?1.2–1.4
Fiorentina not to lose60%
Juventus not to lose69%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.551%
Total under 2.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Fiorentina
  • Fiorentina goals
  • Juventus goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatFiorentinaJuventus
Goals scored per match1.81.8
Goals conceded per match1.91.2
xG per match1.711.63
Opponents’ xG1.200.86
Shots16.815.4
On target5.35.2
Corners4.86.7
Cards2.31.2
Possession, %4757

Averages per match: Fiorentina — the last 10, Juventus — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Fiorentina

  • 02.11away · Sassuolo4:2
  • 29.10Atalanta2:2
  • 25.10away · Inter1:2
  • 18.10Como1:3
  • 10.10away · Genoa1:2

Juventus

  • 01.11Napoli2:0
  • 28.10away · Genoa0:2
  • 25.10away · Lecce2:0
  • 22.10Rennes2:2
  • 18.10Lazio0:3

Head to head

  • 17.05.2026Juventus — Fiorentina0:2
  • 22.11.2025Fiorentina — Juventus1:1
  • 16.03.2025Fiorentina — Juventus3:0
  • 29.12.2024Juventus — Fiorentina2:2
  • 07.04.2024Juventus — Fiorentina1:0

Full record: 22 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6, Europa League or Conference LeagueFrosinone1062224–14+1020
7Juventus1052313–10+317
8Napoli1042417–13+414
15Parma102268–15-78
16Fiorentina1022615–23-88
17Sassuolo1022616–26-108

Season 2026/27

Full table

Serie A on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →