Serie A, round 11 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Inter — Como
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Inter are clear favourites: 53% against 21% for the opponent, draw 26%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Inter are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
- Inter are 143 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Inter — No. 2, 25 pts; Como — No. 4, 23 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Como: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Inter 4 wins, Como 0, 1 draw.
- Days of rest before the match: Inter 5, Como 7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Inter — Como What is xG? | 1.9–1.1 | |
| Inter not to lose | 79% | |
| Como not to lose | 47% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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- Handicap Inter
- Inter goals
- Como goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Inter | Como |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 2.5 | 2.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| xG per match | 2.42 | 2.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.17 | 1.12 |
| Shots | 20.1 | 17.8 |
| On target | 7.5 | 6.1 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 5.3 |
| Cards | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Possession, % | 57 | 60 |
Form
- 03.11away · Feyenoord3:0
- 31.10away · Milan1:3
- 28.10away · Venezia2:0
- 25.10Fiorentina2:1
- 21.10Shakhtar Donetsk1:0
- 01.11Venezia1:0
- 27.10away · Torino3:1
- 24.10Sassuolo2:0
- 21.10Manchester United4:1
- 18.10away · Fiorentina3:1
Head to head
- 21.04.2026Inter — Como3:2
- 12.04.2026Como — Inter3:4
- 03.03.2026Como — Inter0:0
- 06.12.2025Inter — Como4:0
- 23.05.2025Como — Inter0:2
Table
Serie A on the same day
- 4329281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 1828542The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
- 2526492The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
- 3129402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →