FA Cup · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Fleetwood Town — Rochdale
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Fleetwood Town are clear favourites: 49% against 25% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Fleetwood Town are 185 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Fleetwood Town: unbeaten in 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Fleetwood Town — Rochdale What is xG? | 1.7–1.1 | |
| Fleetwood Town not to lose | 75% | |
| Rochdale not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Fleetwood Town
- Fleetwood Town goals
- Rochdale goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 27.10Arsenal1:1
- 16.09Sheffield United1:0
- 25.08Shrewsbury Town4:0
- 08.08Chesterfield1:0
- 09.01away · Port Vale0:1
- 08.08away · Bradford City0:2
- 02.11Bromley3:4
- 05.11away · Bristol Rovers0:1
- 23.08away · Sheffield Wednesday0:3
- 09.08Burton Albion2:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
FA Cup on the same day
- 3727371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 6022171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2626482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 4027341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →