French Ligue 2, round 13 · Friday, 20 November, 22:00 (UTC+3)

Guingamp — Rodez

Model prediction for 20 November

Guingamp49%

Draw25%

Rodez26%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Guingamp are clear favourites: 49% against 26% for the opponent, draw 25%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.

Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 60%.

Why

By the strength ratings Guingamp are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.

Facts

League table: Guingamp — No. 9, 14 pts; Rodez — No. 11, 13 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
Last 5 meetings: Guingamp 2 wins, Rodez 1, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Guingamp — Rodez What is xG?		1.8–1.3
Guingamp not to lose		74%
Rodez not to lose		51%
No draw		75%
Both teams to score: yes		60%
Both teams to score: no		40%
Total over 2.5		56%
Total under 2.5		44%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Guingamp
Guingamp goals
Rodez goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Guingamp	Rodez
Goals scored per match	1.5	1.4
Goals conceded per match	1.3	2.1
xG per match	1.81	1.32
Opponents’ xG	1.35	1.89
Shots	13.7	14.1
On target	5.0	4.9
Corners	4.3	6.1
Cards	2.2	1.5
Possession, %	49	42

Averages per match: Guingamp — the last 10, Rodez — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Guingamp

31.10Saint-Étienne3:0
23.10away · Clermont Foot2:0
16.10Pau1:2
09.10away · Nancy0:1
19.09Red Star1:3

Rodez

30.10Dunkerque1:0
24.10away · Dijon2:1
19.10Montpellier0:3
10.10away · Saint-Étienne0:2
18.09Nancy3:4

Head to head

28.02.2026Guingamp — Rodez0:0
12.12.2025Rodez — Guingamp2:1
17.01.2025Guingamp — Rodez3:0
13.09.2024Rodez — Guingamp1:2
23.01.2024Guingamp — Rodez3:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
8	Dijon	11	4	3	4	20–19	+1	15
9	Guingamp	11	4	2	5	16–15	+1	14
10	Metz	11	3	5	3	17–17	0	14
11	Rodez	11	4	1	6	17–22	-5	13
12	Dunkerque	11	3	3	5	14–17	-3	12

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ligue 2 on the same day

22:00
Annecy FCClermont Footpreliminary
552619
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
22:00
MetzBoulognepreliminary
452927
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
22:00
NancyDijonpreliminary
492724
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
22:00
Red StarPaupreliminary
452728
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →