Nancy — Dijon
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Nancy are clear favourites: 49% against 24% for the opponent, draw 27%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Nancy are 102 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Nancy — No. 3, 22 pts; Dijon — No. 8, 15 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Nancy: 5 wins in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Nancy — Dijon What is xG? | 1.8–1.3 | |
| Nancy not to lose | 76% | |
| Dijon not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Nancy
- Nancy goals
- Dijon goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Nancy | Dijon |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.8 |
| xG per match | 1.67 | 1.75 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.99 | 1.84 |
| Shots | 14.4 | 14.2 |
| On target | 4.4 | 5.6 |
| Corners | 4.0 | 4.4 |
| Cards | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Possession, % | 53 | 56 |
Form
- 02.11away · Red Star4:1
- 23.10Laval1:0
- 16.10away · Annecy FC2:1
- 09.10Guingamp1:0
- 18.09away · Rodez4:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
Ligue 2 on the same day
- Annecy FCClermont Footpreliminary5526191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- GuingampRodezpreliminary4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.0
- MetzBoulognepreliminary4529271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- Red StarPaupreliminary4527281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →