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French Ligue 2, round 13 · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

Nancy — Dijon

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Model prediction for 20 November

Nancy49%
Draw27%
Dijon24%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Nancy are clear favourites: 49% against 24% for the opponent, draw 27%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.

Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 60%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
  • Nancy are 102 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

  • League table: Nancy — No. 3, 22 pts; Dijon — No. 8, 15 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
  • Nancy: 5 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Nancy — Dijon What is xG?1.8–1.3
Nancy not to lose76%
Dijon not to lose51%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes60%
Both teams to score: no40%
Total over 2.554%
Total under 2.546%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Nancy
  • Nancy goals
  • Dijon goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatNancyDijon
Goals scored per match1.61.9
Goals conceded per match0.91.8
xG per match1.671.75
Opponents’ xG0.991.84
Shots14.414.2
On target4.45.6
Corners4.04.4
Cards1.71.2
Possession, %5356

Averages per match: Nancy — the last 10, Dijon — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Nancy

  • 02.11away · Red Star4:1
  • 23.10Laval1:0
  • 16.10away · Annecy FC2:1
  • 09.10Guingamp1:0
  • 18.09away · Rodez4:3

Dijon

  • 30.10away · Grenoble3:1
  • 24.10Rodez1:2
  • 16.10away · Reims2:4
  • 12.10Metz4:2
  • 18.09away · Annecy FC2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
2, PromotionMontpellier1173116–6+1024
3, Promotion play-offsNancy1171316–9+722
4, Promotion play-offsReims1156022–12+1021
7Annecy FC1151514–15-116
8Dijon1143420–19+115
9Guingamp1142516–15+114

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ligue 2 on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
  • GuingampRodezpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.0
  • MetzBoulognepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
  • Red StarPaupreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →