French Ligue 2, round 11 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Guingamp — Saint-Étienne
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Saint-Étienne are slightly stronger: 45% against 28%, draw 27%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Saint-Étienne are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Guingamp — Saint-Étienne What is xG? | 1.3–1.6 | |
| Guingamp not to lose | 55% | |
| Saint-Étienne not to lose | 72% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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Form
- 10.10Rodez2:0
- 19.09away · Metz2:2
- 12.09away · Dunkerque1:2
- 05.09Montpellier3:1
- 31.08away · Dijon3:2
Head to head
- 14.02.2026Guingamp — Saint-Étienne1:2
- 27.09.2025Saint-Étienne — Guingamp2:3
- 04.05.2024Guingamp — Saint-Étienne2:2
- 05.12.2023Saint-Étienne — Guingamp1:3
- 12.01.2019Guingamp — Saint-Étienne0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Promotion | Saint-Étienne | 8 | 6 | +13 | 19 |
| 2, Promotion | Red Star | 8 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 10 | Metz | 8 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 8 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Dunkerque | 8 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
Ligue 2 on the same day
- Annecy FCMontpellierpreliminary3931301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- ReimsSochauxpreliminary5726181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →