FA Cup · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Guiseley — Sutton United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Evenly matched: Guiseley 38%, Sutton United 35%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Guiseley are 58 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Guiseley — Sutton United What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| Guiseley not to lose | 65% | |
| Sutton United not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Guiseley
- Guiseley goals
- Sutton United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 06.12Shrewsbury Town1:2
- 01.11AFC Telford United2:1
- 03.11Birmingham City0:1
- 06.01away · Plymouth Argyle1:3
- 02.12Horsham3:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
FA Cup on the same day
- 3727371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 6022171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2626482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 4027341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →