FA Cup · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Harrogate Town — AFC Fylde
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Evenly matched: Harrogate Town 39%, AFC Fylde 34%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings AFC Fylde are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Harrogate Town are 106 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Harrogate Town — AFC Fylde What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| Harrogate Town not to lose | 66% | |
| AFC Fylde not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Harrogate Town
- Harrogate Town goals
- AFC Fylde goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 01.11away · Mansfield Town2:3
- 12.08Lincoln City1:3
- 11.01away · Leeds United0:1
- 29.11Gainsborough1:0
- 03.11Wrexham1:0
- 04.11away · Sutton United1:2
- 15.11away · Gillingham0:1
- 05.11Gillingham1:1
- 07.11away · Exeter City1:2
- 05.01away · Sheffield United1:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
FA Cup on the same day
- 3727371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 6022171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2626482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 4027341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →