FA Cup · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Hornchurch — Blackpool
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Blackpool are clear favourites: 54% against 22% for the opponent, draw 24%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Blackpool are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Blackpool are 118 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hornchurch — Blackpool What is xG? | 1.1–1.8 | |
| Hornchurch not to lose | 46% | |
| Blackpool not to lose | 78% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Hornchurch
- Hornchurch goals
- Blackpool goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
Form
No past matches in the data yet.
- 25.08Lincoln City1:4
- 08.08away · Grimsby Town3:1
- 10.01away · Ipswich Town1:2
- 07.12Carlisle United4:1
- 01.11Scunthorpe United1:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
FA Cup on the same day
- 3727371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 6022171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2626482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 4027341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →