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K League 1 (South Korea), round 34 · Saturday, 31 October, (UTC+3) · Jeonju World Cup Stadium

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC — Daejeon Hana Citizen

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Model prediction and result

0:0Missed
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC37%
Draw29%
Daejeon Hana Citizen34%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC to win (37%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 37% fails in about 63 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC 37%, Daejeon Hana Citizen 34%, draw 29%.

2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 58%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
  • Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC are 54 points higher on Elo.

2 more facts behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

  • Daejeon Hana Citizen: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC 3 wins, Daejeon Hana Citizen 1, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC — Daejeon Hana Citizen What is xG?1.4–1.4
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC not to lose66%
Daejeon Hana Citizen not to lose63%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes58%
Both teams to score: no42%
Total over 2.550%
Total under 2.550%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC
  • Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC goals
  • Daejeon Hana Citizen goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Match events

  1. 45′Italo · Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC
  2. 69′Yoon-Sung Kang · Daejeon Hana Citizen
  3. 80′Sung-Kwon Jo · Daejeon Hana Citizen
Substitutions (10)
  1. 57′Andrea Compagno ↔ Tiago Orobó · Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC
  2. 57′Seong-Ung Maeng ↔ João Gamboa · Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC
  3. 57′Seung-Woo Lee ↔ Dodô · Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC
  4. 59′Diogo ↔ Min-Kyu Joo · Daejeon Hana Citizen
  5. 68′Young-Bin Kim ↔ Je-Woon Yeon · Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC
  6. 71′Jun-Beom Kim ↔ Jin-Su Seo · Daejeon Hana Citizen
  7. 71′João Victor ↔ Won-Sang Um · Daejeon Hana Citizen
  8. 88′Soon-Min Lee ↔ Yoon-Sung Kang · Daejeon Hana Citizen
  9. 88′Jae-Hee Jeong ↔ Gustav Ludwigson · Daejeon Hana Citizen
  10. 91′Seung-Sub Kim ↔ Yeong-Jae Lee · Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC

Match statistics

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FCDaejeon Hana Citizen
  • 51Possession, %49
  • 8Shots8
  • 2On target2
  • 1Corners6
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0

Lineups

Minutes — how long the player played, if under 90; on the right — the player’s match rating.

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC

  1. GKBum-Keun Song
  2. DFWi-Je Cho
  3. DFJi-Soo Park
  4. DFJe-Woon Yeon68′
  5. DFWoo-Jin Choi
  6. MFJoão Gamboa57′
  7. MFDodô57′
  8. MFYeong-Jae Lee
  9. MFSang-Yun Kang
  10. FWItalo
  11. FWTiago Orobó57′
Came on (4)
  1. FWSeung-Woo Lee33′
  2. FWAndrea Compagno33′
  3. DFYoung-Bin Kim22′
  4. MFSeong-Ung Maeng33′

Daejeon Hana Citizen

  1. GKChang-Geun Lee
  2. DFAnton Krivotsyuk
  3. DFMoon-Hwan Kim
  4. DFYoon-Sung Kang88′
  5. DFMyung-Jae Lee
  6. DFSung-Kwon Jo
  7. MFWon-Sang Um71′
  8. MFBong-Soo Kim
  9. FWGustav Ludwigson88′
  10. FWMin-Kyu Joo59′
  11. FWJin-Su Seo71′
Came on (5)
  1. FWJoão Victor19′
  2. FWDiogo31′
  3. MFSoon-Min Lee2′
  4. FWJae-Hee Jeong2′
  5. MFJun-Beom Kim19′

Form

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC

  • 24.10away · FC Anyang1:1
  • 18.10Jeju SK3:2
  • 09.10away · Daejeon Hana Citizen1:2
  • 20.09Gwangju FC2:2
  • 12.09FC Seoul1:2

Daejeon Hana Citizen

  • 24.10away · Gimcheon Sangmu2:1
  • 18.10Gwangju FC3:2
  • 09.10Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC2:1
  • 20.09away · Incheon United1:1
  • 12.09Pohang Steelers2:2

Head to head

  • 09.10.2026Daejeon Hana Citizen — Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC2:1
  • 21.07.2026Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC — Daejeon Hana Citizen0:0
  • 21.03.2026Daejeon Hana Citizen — Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC0:1
  • 08.11.2025Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC — Daejeon Hana Citizen3:1
  • 13.09.2025Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC — Daejeon Hana Citizen1:0

Full record: 15 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
2, Championship roundUlsan HD FC341661254–48+654
3, Championship roundDaejeon Hana Citizen3413111053–41+1250
4, Championship roundJeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC341213943–33+1049
5, Championship roundIncheon United3413101144–35+949

Season 2026

Full table

Next matches

K League 1 on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →