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Serie A, round 12 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Juventus — Venezia

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Model prediction for 22 November

Juventus70%
Draw20%
Venezia10%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Juventus are clear favourites: 70% against 10% for the opponent, draw 20%.

2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 47%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Juventus are about 1.6 goals per match stronger.
  • Juventus are 358 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: Juventus — No. 7, 17 pts; Venezia — No. 20, 3 pts. A gap of 14 pts.
  • Venezia: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 4 meetings: Juventus 2 wins, Venezia 0, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Juventus — Venezia What is xG?2.1–0.7
Juventus not to lose90%
Venezia not to lose30%
No draw80%
Both teams to score: yes47%
Both teams to score: no53%
Total over 2.554%
Total under 2.546%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Juventus
  • Juventus goals
  • Venezia goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatJuventusVenezia
Goals scored per match1.80.7
Goals conceded per match1.22.0
xG per match1.631.32
Opponents’ xG0.861.88
Shots15.412.8
On target5.23.7
Corners6.73.7
Cards1.22.1
Possession, %5750

Averages per match: Juventus — the last 10, Venezia — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Juventus

  • 01.11Napoli2:0
  • 28.10away · Genoa0:2
  • 25.10away · Lecce2:0
  • 22.10Rennes2:2
  • 18.10Lazio0:3

Venezia

  • 01.11away · Como0:1
  • 28.10Inter0:2
  • 25.10away · Genoa0:1
  • 17.10Napoli1:0
  • 12.10away · Atalanta1:3

Head to head

  • 25.05.2025Venezia — Juventus2:3
  • 14.12.2024Juventus — Venezia2:2
  • 01.05.2022Juventus — Venezia2:1
  • 11.12.2021Venezia — Juventus1:1

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6, Europa League or Conference LeagueFrosinone1062224–14+1020
7Juventus1052313–10+317
8Napoli1042417–13+414
19, RelegationUdinese1012711–23-125
20, RelegationVenezia101096–20-143

Season 2026/27

Full table

Serie A on the same day

  • BolognaUdinesepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
  • SassuoloGenoapreliminary
    XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.6
  • MilanFrosinonepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.4
  • AtalantaInterpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →