Super League Greece, round 9 · Monday, 2 November, MSK

Kalamata — Iraklis

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Model prediction for 2 November

Kalamata51%
Draw29%
Iraklis20%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Kalamata are clear favourites: 51% against 20% for the opponent, draw 29%.

2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 47%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kalamata — Iraklis What is xG?1.5–0.9
Kalamata not to lose80%
Iraklis not to lose49%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes47%
Both teams to score: no53%
Total over 2.542%
Total under 2.558%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Kalamata
  • Kalamata goals
  • Iraklis goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Kalamata

  • 12.10away · PAOK Thessaloniki3:1
  • 20.09Panathinaikos0:1
  • 13.09NFC Volos3:1
  • 06.09away · Atromitos1:1
  • 29.08away · Panetolikos0:2

Iraklis

  • 11.10Levadiakos2:0
  • 19.09away · Aris Thessaloniki0:0
  • 12.09Atromitos1:1
  • 07.09away · Asteras Tripolis2:0
  • 29.08away · NFC Volos1:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6Aris Thessaloniki63128–12-410
7Iraklis62316–609
8Panetolikos63038–9-19
9Kifisia FC62226–7-18
10Kalamata62139–907
11Asteras Tripolis61236–10-45

Season 2026/27

Full table

Greek Super League on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →