Norwegian Eliteserien, round 27 · Sunday, 22 November, 19:00 (UTC+3)

KFUM — Brann

Model prediction for 22 November

KFUM31%

Draw28%

Brann41%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Brann are slightly stronger: 41% against 31%, draw 28%.

3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).

Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 65%.

Why

By the strength ratings Brann are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Facts

League table: KFUM — No. 10, 31 pts; Brann — No. 7, 32 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
KFUM: unbeaten in 5.
Last 5 meetings: KFUM 1 win, Brann 2, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: KFUM — Brann What is xG?		1.4–1.7
KFUM not to lose		59%
Brann not to lose		69%
No draw		72%
Both teams to score: yes		65%
Both teams to score: no		35%
Total over 2.5		61%
Total under 2.5		39%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap KFUM
KFUM goals
Brann goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	KFUM	Brann
Goals scored per match	1.5	1.5
Goals conceded per match	1.5	1.7
xG per match	1.47	1.88
Opponents’ xG	1.89	1.93
Shots	10.7	17.4
On target	3.6	5.2
Corners	4.0	7.9
Cards	1.9	2.2
Possession, %	43	62

Averages per match: KFUM — the last 10, Brann — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

KFUM

01.11Hamarkameratene2:2
25.10away · Kristiansund2:2
18.10away · Tromsø1:1
12.10Vålerenga2:1
18.09away · Sarpsborg 083:1

Brann

01.11Molde3:2
25.10away · Lillestrøm2:3
22.10away · FK Kauno Žalgiris4:1
18.10away · Vålerenga1:3
15.10Lincoln Red Imps FC2:1

Head to head

16.05.2026Brann — KFUM2:1
09.11.2025Brann — KFUM1:1
19.07.2025KFUM — Brann2:0
18.09.2024Brann — KFUM2:0
28.04.2024KFUM — Brann0:0

Full record: 5 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
6	Tromsø	25	11	7	7	43–38	+5	40
7	Brann	25	10	2	13	45–42	+3	32
8	Vålerenga	25	9	5	11	43–46	-3	32
9	Sarpsborg 08	25	8	7	10	32–39	-7	31
10	KFUM	25	8	7	10	32–41	-9	31
11	Fredrikstad	25	8	5	12	29–44	-15	29

Season 2026

Full table

Eliteserien on the same day

19:00
KristiansundSandefjordpreliminary
372835
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
19:00
AalesundRosenborgpreliminary
212356
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.7
21:15
Sarpsborg 08Lillestrømpreliminary
422632
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →