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Norwegian Eliteserien, round 27 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Kristiansund — Sandefjord

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Model prediction for 22 November

Kristiansund37%
Draw28%
Sandefjord35%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Kristiansund 37%, Sandefjord 35%, draw 28%.

3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).

Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 66%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • League table: Kristiansund — No. 15, 23 pts; Sandefjord — No. 12, 27 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Kristiansund 1 win, Sandefjord 3, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kristiansund — Sandefjord What is xG?1.6–1.6
Kristiansund not to lose65%
Sandefjord not to lose63%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes66%
Both teams to score: no34%
Total over 2.562%
Total under 2.538%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Kristiansund
  • Kristiansund goals
  • Sandefjord goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatKristiansundSandefjord
Goals scored per match1.61.3
Goals conceded per match2.61.3
xG per match1.341.55
Opponents’ xG2.561.91
Shots13.816.3
On target4.24.7
Corners3.84.7
Cards1.72.4
Possession, %4152

Averages per match: Kristiansund — the last 10, Sandefjord — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Kristiansund

  • 01.11away · Sarpsborg 084:2
  • 25.10KFUM2:2
  • 17.10Aalesund1:4
  • 10.10away · Bodø/Glimt1:3
  • 19.09Rosenborg1:3

Sandefjord

  • 31.10away · Aalesund4:3
  • 25.10away · Start0:1
  • 18.10Lillestrøm0:2
  • 10.10away · Rosenborg1:1
  • 20.09Start3:0

Head to head

  • 10.05.2026Sandefjord — Kristiansund2:0
  • 17.08.2025Kristiansund — Sandefjord2:2
  • 20.07.2025Sandefjord — Kristiansund6:0
  • 05.10.2024Kristiansund — Sandefjord2:1
  • 25.08.2024Sandefjord — Kristiansund1:0

Full record: 9 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
11Fredrikstad25851229–44-1529
12Sandefjord25761226–34-827
13Hamarkameratene25761235–53-1827
14, Relegation play-offAalesund25591143–57-1424
15, RelegationKristiansund25651429–51-2223
16, RelegationStart25541626–55-2919

Season 2026

Full table

Eliteserien on the same day

  • KFUMBrannpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.7
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →