Kristiansund — Sandefjord
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Kristiansund 37%, Sandefjord 35%, draw 28%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 66%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Kristiansund — No. 15, 23 pts; Sandefjord — No. 12, 27 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Kristiansund 1 win, Sandefjord 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kristiansund — Sandefjord What is xG? | 1.6–1.6 | |
| Kristiansund not to lose | 65% | |
| Sandefjord not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 34% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Kristiansund
- Kristiansund goals
- Sandefjord goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Kristiansund | Sandefjord |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| xG per match | 1.34 | 1.55 |
| Opponents’ xG | 2.56 | 1.91 |
| Shots | 13.8 | 16.3 |
| On target | 4.2 | 4.7 |
| Corners | 3.8 | 4.7 |
| Cards | 1.7 | 2.4 |
| Possession, % | 41 | 52 |
Form
- 01.11away · Sarpsborg 084:2
- 25.10KFUM2:2
- 17.10Aalesund1:4
- 10.10away · Bodø/Glimt1:3
- 19.09Rosenborg1:3
- 31.10away · Aalesund4:3
- 25.10away · Start0:1
- 18.10Lillestrøm0:2
- 10.10away · Rosenborg1:1
- 20.09Start3:0
Head to head
- 10.05.2026Sandefjord — Kristiansund2:0
- 17.08.2025Kristiansund — Sandefjord2:2
- 20.07.2025Sandefjord — Kristiansund6:0
- 05.10.2024Kristiansund — Sandefjord2:1
- 25.08.2024Sandefjord — Kristiansund1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 25 | 8 | -15 | 29 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 25 | 7 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 | Hamarkameratene | 25 | 7 | -18 | 27 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Aalesund | 25 | 5 | -14 | 24 |
| 15, Relegation | Kristiansund | 25 | 6 | -22 | 23 |
| 16, Relegation | Start | 25 | 5 | -29 | 19 |
Eliteserien on the same day
- KFUMBrannpreliminary3128412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- AalesundRosenborgpreliminary2123562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.7
- Sarpsborg 08Lillestrømpreliminary4226321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →