Super League Greece, round 11 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Levadiakos — Atromitos
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Levadiakos are slightly stronger: 43% against 28%, draw 30%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Levadiakos are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Levadiakos are 95 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Levadiakos — No. 11, 6 pts; Atromitos — No. 13, 5 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 4 meetings: Levadiakos 1 win, Atromitos 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Levadiakos — Atromitos What is xG? | 1.5–1.1 | |
| Levadiakos not to lose | 72% | |
| Atromitos not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Levadiakos
- Levadiakos goals
- Atromitos goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Levadiakos | Atromitos |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 0.3 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| xG per match | 0.87 | 1.24 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.99 | 1.18 |
| Shots | 9.5 | 11.5 |
| On target | 2.5 | 3.9 |
| Corners | 3.9 | 3.4 |
| Cards | 2.2 | 2.5 |
| Possession, % | 45 | 50 |
Form
- 01.11Aris Thessaloniki3:0
- 24.10away · Asteras Tripolis0:0
- 17.10NFC Volos0:0
- 11.10away · Iraklis0:2
- 20.09Olympiacos0:1
- 02.11NFC Volos3:0
- 25.10away · Aris Thessaloniki1:3
- 10.10away · Asteras Tripolis1:2
- 19.09Kifisia FC1:2
- 12.09away · Iraklis1:1
Head to head
- 22.03.2026Levadiakos — Atromitos1:0
- 18.10.2025Atromitos — Levadiakos2:2
- 02.03.2025Levadiakos — Atromitos1:2
- 25.11.2024Atromitos — Levadiakos2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Panetolikos | 9 | 3 | -9 | 9 |
| 11 | Levadiakos | 9 | 1 | -8 | 6 |
| 12 | Asteras Tripolis | 9 | 1 | -9 | 6 |
| 13 | Atromitos | 8 | 1 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | NFC Volos | 9 | 0 | -10 | 3 |
Greek Super League on the same day
- PanetolikosNFC Volospreliminary4132271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- PanathinaikosOFI Cretepreliminary801561The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- OlympiacosIraklispreliminary871031The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- PAOK ThessalonikiKifisia FCpreliminary7219101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →