Super League Greece, round 11 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Panetolikos — NFC Volos
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Panetolikos are slightly stronger: 41% against 27%, draw 32%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Panetolikos are 156 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Panetolikos — No. 10, 9 pts; NFC Volos — No. 14, 3 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Panetolikos: 5 defeats in a row; NFC Volos: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Panetolikos 1 win, NFC Volos 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Panetolikos — NFC Volos What is xG? | 1.4–1.1 | |
| Panetolikos not to lose | 73% | |
| NFC Volos not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Panetolikos
- Panetolikos goals
- NFC Volos goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Panetolikos | NFC Volos |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| xG per match | 1.00 | 0.88 |
| Opponents’ xG | 2.03 | 1.85 |
| Shots | 10.6 | 9.4 |
| On target | 3.1 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 3.7 | 2.2 |
| Cards | 2.6 | 3.9 |
| Possession, % | 46 | 43 |
Form
- 01.11OFI Crete0:1
- 24.10away · AEK Athens0:5
- 18.10Olympiacos0:2
- 11.10away · Kifisia FC0:2
- 20.09PAOK Thessaloniki1:3
- 02.11away · Atromitos0:3
- 25.10Panathinaikos0:1
- 17.10away · Levadiakos0:0
- 11.10away · Aris Thessaloniki2:3
- 20.09AEK Athens1:2
Head to head
- 20.12.2025NFC Volos — Panetolikos1:0
- 13.09.2025Panetolikos — NFC Volos1:2
- 10.05.2025Panetolikos — NFC Volos0:3
- 06.04.2025NFC Volos — Panetolikos0:0
- 08.02.2025NFC Volos — Panetolikos0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Iraklis | 9 | 2 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 9 | 3 | -9 | 9 |
| 11 | Levadiakos | 9 | 1 | -8 | 6 |
| 13 | Atromitos | 8 | 1 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | NFC Volos | 9 | 0 | -10 | 3 |
Greek Super League on the same day
- LevadiakosAtromitospreliminary4330281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- PanathinaikosOFI Cretepreliminary801561The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- OlympiacosIraklispreliminary871031The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- PAOK ThessalonikiKifisia FCpreliminary7219101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →