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Super League Greece, round 11 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

PAOK Thessaloniki — Kifisia FC

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Model prediction for 22 November

PAOK Thessaloniki72%
Draw19%
Kifisia FC10%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

PAOK Thessaloniki are clear favourites: 72% against 10% for the opponent, draw 19%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.

Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 52%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings PAOK Thessaloniki are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.
  • PAOK Thessaloniki are 275 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: PAOK Thessaloniki — No. 3, 18 pts; Kifisia FC — No. 7, 11 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
  • Last 4 meetings: PAOK Thessaloniki 4 wins, Kifisia FC 0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: PAOK Thessaloniki — Kifisia FC What is xG?2.2–0.8
PAOK Thessaloniki not to lose90%
Kifisia FC not to lose28%
No draw81%
Both teams to score: yes52%
Both teams to score: no48%
Total over 2.558%
Total under 2.542%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap PAOK Thessaloniki
  • PAOK Thessaloniki goals
  • Kifisia FC goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatPAOK ThessalonikiKifisia FC
Goals scored per match2.01.5
Goals conceded per match1.41.6
xG per match2.001.30
Opponents’ xG1.431.09
Shots15.313.4
On target4.94.8
Corners5.35.2
Cards1.93.4
Possession, %5149

Averages per match: PAOK Thessaloniki — the last 10, Kifisia FC — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

PAOK Thessaloniki

  • 01.11Asteras Tripolis2:1
  • 25.10away · OFI Crete1:2
  • 18.10Iraklis2:1
  • 12.10Kalamata1:3
  • 20.09away · Panetolikos3:1

Kifisia FC

  • 31.10Olympiacos2:3
  • 24.10away · Iraklis3:2
  • 18.10Aris Thessaloniki1:2
  • 11.10Panetolikos2:0
  • 19.09away · Atromitos2:1

Head to head

  • 04.03.2026Kifisia FC — PAOK Thessaloniki1:4
  • 23.11.2025PAOK Thessaloniki — Kifisia FC3:0
  • 21.12.2023Kifisia FC — PAOK Thessaloniki0:6
  • 27.08.2023PAOK Thessaloniki — Kifisia FC2:1

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
2Olympiacos971115–4+1122
3PAOK Thessaloniki960318–12+618
4AEK Athens852121–5+1617
6Aris Thessaloniki951313–17-416
7Kifisia FC932412–14-211
8Kalamata932414–18-411

Season 2026/27

Full table

Greek Super League on the same day

  • LevadiakosAtromitospreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
  • PanetolikosNFC Volospreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
  • PanathinaikosOFI Cretepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
  • OlympiacosIraklispreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →