Liga MX (Mexico), round 14 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Monterrey — Chivas
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Monterrey 33%, Chivas 38%, draw 29%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Monterrey — Chivas What is xG? | 1.3–1.5 | |
| Monterrey not to lose | 62% | |
| Chivas not to lose | 67% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Monterrey
- Monterrey goals
- Chivas goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · CF América1:1
- 26.09away · Atlante2:4
- 20.09Cruz Azul1:0
- 13.09Tigres0:0
- 31.08Atlético de San Luis1:3
- 11.10away · Atlas1:1
- 27.09Querétaro FC0:2
- 20.09away · CF América2:2
- 14.09Pumas3:0
- 06.09away · Atlético de San Luis3:0
Head to head
- 22.03.2026Monterrey — Chivas2:3
- 09.11.2025Chivas — Monterrey4:2
- 06.04.2025Monterrey — Chivas3:1
- 29.09.2024Chivas — Monterrey1:1
- 31.03.2024Monterrey — Chivas0:2
Table
Liga MX on the same day
- LeónTolucapreliminary2227502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- PumasTigrespreliminary333037XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →