UEFA Europa League, round 2 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Goffertstadion
NEC Nijmegen — Levski Sofia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
NEC Nijmegen are clear favourites: 55% against 21% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings NEC Nijmegen are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: NEC Nijmegen — Levski Sofia What is xG? | 1.8–1.1 | |
| NEC Nijmegen not to lose | 79% | |
| Levski Sofia not to lose | 45% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap NEC Nijmegen
- NEC Nijmegen goals
- Levski Sofia goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Ajax1:1
- 20.09Go Ahead Eagles1:1
- 17.09away · Juventus0:5
- 12.09away · Cambuur0:3
- 08.09Excelsior2:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 | Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 |
| 35 | Lech Poznań | 1 | 0 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 | NEC Nijmegen | 1 | 0 | -5 | 0 |
Europa League on the same day
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- 6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- 3226412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 4027341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 5723201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2926462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →