Russian Cup, round 5 · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · Sovcombank Arena
Nizhny Novgorod — Shinnik Yaroslavl
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 October
In play · estimate from before kick-off
In short
Nizhny Novgorod are clear favourites: 65% against 14% for the opponent, draw 21%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Nizhny Novgorod are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Nizhny Novgorod — Shinnik Yaroslavl What is xG? | 2.1–0.9 | |
| Nizhny Novgorod not to lose | 86% | |
| Shinnik Yaroslavl not to lose | 35% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Nizhny Novgorod
- Nizhny Novgorod goals
- Shinnik Yaroslavl goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 17.05away · Rubin Kazan2:2
- 11.05CSKA Moscow1:2
- 03.05away · FK Akhmat0:2
- 26.04Spartak Moscow1:2
- 22.04away · FC Orenburg1:2
- 15.10Neftekhimik1:1
- 26.11Akron Togliatti0:1
- 30.10Chayka0:0
- 15.10away · FC Ufa1:0
- 19.10away · Akron Togliatti0:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Russian Cup on the same day
- 5424221The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.9
- 3827361The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
- 5923181The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.2.9
- 3827361The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.2.8
- 3227422The most likely outcome came true: 20:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:1.2.8
- 3727361The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.8
- 1017732The most likely outcome came true: 21:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:3.3.2
- 1722602The most likely outcome came true: 21:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:3.2.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →