Bundesliga, round 9 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Paderborn — Eintracht Frankfurt
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Eintracht Frankfurt are clear favourites: 45% against 25% for the opponent, draw 30%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 65%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Eintracht Frankfurt are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Paderborn — No. 14, 9 pts; Eintracht Frankfurt — No. 8, 11 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 2 meetings: Paderborn 1 win, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Paderborn — Eintracht Frankfurt What is xG? | 1.3–1.7 | |
| Paderborn not to lose | 55% | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt not to lose | 75% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
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- Paderborn goals
- Eintracht Frankfurt goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Paderborn | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 2.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| xG per match | 1.11 | 2.07 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.67 | 1.79 |
| Shots | 15.2 | 15.2 |
| On target | 4.3 | 7.2 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 5.0 |
| Cards | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| Possession, % | 50 | 53 |
Form
- 31.10away · Borussia Mönchengladbach0:0
- 28.10VfB Stuttgart0:1
- 24.10Hamburger SV1:0
- 17.10away · Werder Bremen2:2
- 10.10VfB Stuttgart0:2
- 01.11Hamburger SV3:1
- 27.10away · Hamburger SV3:1
- 24.10away · Borussia Dortmund0:1
- 16.101. FC Köln1:0
- 10.10away · RB Leipzig0:6
Head to head
- 27.06.2020Eintracht Frankfurt — Paderborn3:2
- 22.12.2019Paderborn — Eintracht Frankfurt2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3 | -5 | 11 |
| 9 | Mainz 05 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 8 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Paderborn | 8 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 8 | 3 | -12 | 9 |
Bundesliga on the same day
- 781571The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.8
- 817762The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.9
- 6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.8
- 5824191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →