Tanzania Premier League, round 10 · Thursday, 29 October, (UTC+3)
Pamba Jiji — Singida Black Stars
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0:1Came true
In short
Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, Singida Black Stars to win (39%), came true.
Singida Black Stars are slightly stronger: 39% against 32%, draw 29%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 2.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Singida Black Stars are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- Singida Black Stars are 56 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Last 4 meetings: Pamba Jiji 0 wins, Singida Black Stars 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Pamba Jiji — Singida Black Stars What is xG? | 1.3–1.5 | |
| Pamba Jiji not to lose | 61% | |
| Singida Black Stars not to lose | 68% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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- Singida Black Stars goals
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Match events
- 43′<TBD> · Pamba Jiji
- 93′<TBD> · Singida Black Stars0:1
Form
- 23.10away · Polisi Tanzania FC1:1
- 16.10away · Fountain Gate FC1:1
- 08.10Geita Gold FC4:0
- 13.09TRA United1:3
- 05.09away · JKT Tanzania0:3
- 12.10away · Coastal Union0:1
- 09.10away · Dodoma Jiji FC1:1
- 09.09away · Mashujaa1:2
- 01.09Namungo FC3:2
- 29.08Polisi Tanzania FC4:2
Head to head
- 05.05.2026Singida Black Stars — Pamba Jiji3:1
- 08.11.2025Pamba Jiji — Singida Black Stars1:1
- 23.02.2025Singida Black Stars — Pamba Jiji2:2
- 17.09.2024Pamba Jiji — Singida Black Stars0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mashujaa | 10 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 9 | Singida Black Stars | 10 | 4 | +3 | 14 |
| 10 | Coastal Union | 11 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 | Geita Gold FC | 11 | 2 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Pamba Jiji | 11 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Fountain Gate FC | 11 | 1 | -10 | 6 |
Next matches
- MashujaaPamba Jiji2 November · Tanzania Premier League4532241The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.1
- Mbeya CitySingida Black Stars3 November · Tanzania Premier League2428482The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:2.2.6
Tanzania Premier League on the same day
- 516802The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.2.5
- 5727161The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.4
- 4331261The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →