FA Cup · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Peterborough United — Reading
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Evenly matched: Peterborough United 36%, Reading 37%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Last 2 meetings: Peterborough United 0 wins, Reading 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Peterborough United — Reading What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| Peterborough United not to lose | 63% | |
| Reading not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Peterborough United
- Peterborough United goals
- Reading goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Peterborough United | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| xG per match | 1.99 | 1.37 |
| Opponents’ xG | 2.32 | 1.35 |
| Shots | 13.8 | 13.8 |
| On target | 5.2 | 4.8 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 6.8 |
| Cards | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Possession, % | 48 | 47 |
Form
- 27.10away · Bradford City0:2
- 15.09Barnsley3:3
- 25.08away · Watford5:1
- 08.08away · Bristol Rovers1:0
- 06.12Barnsley0:1
- 15.09Brentford1:2
- 25.08away · Stevenage3:0
- 08.08away · Bromley1:1
- 01.11Carlisle United2:3
- 23.09away · Wrexham0:2
Head to head
- 16.02.2022Peterborough United — Reading0:0
- 14.09.2021Reading — Peterborough United3:1
FA Cup on the same day
- 3727371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 6022171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2626482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 4027341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →