FA Cup · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Plymouth Argyle — Alvechurch
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Plymouth Argyle are clear favourites: 55% against 21% for the opponent, draw 24%.
The model expects few goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Plymouth Argyle are 261 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Plymouth Argyle — Alvechurch What is xG? | 1.8–1.0 | |
| Plymouth Argyle not to lose | 79% | |
| Alvechurch not to lose | 45% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Plymouth Argyle
- Plymouth Argyle goals
- Alvechurch goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 25.08Coventry City2:4
- 10.08Exeter City2:0
- 01.11away · Wycombe Wanderers0:2
- 26.08away · Swansea City1:1
- 12.08Queens Park Rangers3:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
FA Cup on the same day
- 3727371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 6022171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2626482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 4027341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →