FA Cup · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Port Vale — Scunthorpe United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Port Vale are clear favourites: 62% against 16% for the opponent, draw 22%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Port Vale are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
- Port Vale are 297 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Port Vale — Scunthorpe United What is xG? | 2.0–0.9 | |
| Port Vale not to lose | 84% | |
| Scunthorpe United not to lose | 38% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Port Vale
- Port Vale goals
- Scunthorpe United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 07.08away · Wolverhampton Wanderers0:3
- 04.04away · Chelsea0:7
- 08.03Sunderland1:0
- 03.03Bristol City1:0
- 09.01Fleetwood Town1:0
- 01.11away · Blackpool0:1
- 06.11Doncaster Rovers0:1
- 10.08away · Barrow0:1
- 08.11Solihull Moors2:3
- 05.09Port Vale1:2
Head to head
- 05.09.2020Scunthorpe United — Port Vale1:2
FA Cup on the same day
- 3727371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 6022171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2626482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 4027341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →