EFL Championship, round 14 · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK
Queens Park Rangers — Burnley
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 3 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Queens Park Rangers 38%, Burnley 33%, draw 29%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Burnley are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Queens Park Rangers — No. 9, 14 pts; Burnley — No. 21, 8 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Queens Park Rangers: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 4 meetings: Queens Park Rangers 1 win, Burnley 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Queens Park Rangers — Burnley What is xG? | 1.3–1.2 | |
| Queens Park Rangers not to lose | 67% | |
| Burnley not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Queens Park Rangers
- Queens Park Rangers goals
- Burnley goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 09.10away · West Ham United1:1
- 19.09Preston North End2:2
- 12.09away · West Bromwich Albion1:1
- 09.09away · Charlton Athletic0:0
- 05.09Middlesbrough0:1
- 13.10Charlton Athletic2:2
- 10.10away · Watford4:0
- 19.09Derby County1:1
- 12.09away · Swansea City1:3
- 08.09away · Wrexham1:1
Head to head
- 26.04.2025Queens Park Rangers — Burnley0:5
- 26.10.2024Burnley — Queens Park Rangers0:0
- 22.04.2023Burnley — Queens Park Rangers1:2
- 11.12.2022Queens Park Rangers — Burnley0:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Promotion play-offs | Blackburn Rovers | 10 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Queens Park Rangers | 9 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 9 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 20 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | -4 | 8 |
| 22, Relegation | Watford | 10 | 2 | -11 | 8 |
Championship on the same day
- Blackburn RoversStoke Citypreliminary5027221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- Derby CountyNorwich Citypreliminary3829341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- PortsmouthSwansea Citypreliminary3829341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- Preston North EndSheffield Unitedpreliminary3228402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- WatfordLincoln Citypreliminary333037XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.3
- Charlton AthleticBolton Wandererspreliminary372934XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7
- Birmingham CityMillwallpreliminary4628261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- West Bromwich AlbionSouthamptonpreliminary3429372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →