Brazilian Serie A, round 34 · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK
RB Bragantino — Santos
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 3 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
RB Bragantino are clear favourites: 52% against 22% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings RB Bragantino are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: RB Bragantino — No. 9, 40 pts; Santos — No. 8, 42 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: RB Bragantino 3 wins, Santos 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: RB Bragantino — Santos What is xG? | 1.7–1.1 | |
| RB Bragantino not to lose | 78% | |
| Santos not to lose | 48% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap RB Bragantino
- RB Bragantino goals
- Santos goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10Cruzeiro4:2
- 08.10Mirassol1:1
- 04.10away · Atlético-MG0:1
- 21.09away · Flamengo1:2
- 13.09away · Botafogo1:1
- 11.10away · Atlético-MG1:2
- 09.10Flamengo2:2
- 03.10away · São Paulo2:1
- 20.09away · Remo2:1
- 17.09away · Atlético-MG2:4
Head to head
- 11.05.2026Santos — RB Bragantino2:0
- 29.09.2025RB Bragantino — Santos2:2
- 28.04.2025Santos — RB Bragantino1:2
- 20.10.2023Santos — RB Bragantino1:3
- 29.05.2023RB Bragantino — Santos2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Copa Sudamericana | Atlético-MG | 30 | 13 | +6 | 47 |
| 8, Copa Sudamericana | Santos | 30 | 11 | +1 | 42 |
| 9, Copa Sudamericana | RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | +3 | 40 |
| 10, Copa Sudamericana | São Paulo | 30 | 11 | 0 | 39 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →