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Segunda Division, round 15 · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)

Real Sociedad B — Cádiz

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Model prediction for 21 November

Real Sociedad B49%
Draw27%
Cádiz24%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Real Sociedad B are clear favourites: 49% against 24% for the opponent, draw 27%.

2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 53%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Real Sociedad B are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
  • Real Sociedad B are 98 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: Real Sociedad B — No. 18, 11 pts; Cádiz — No. 19, 10 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 2 meetings: Real Sociedad B 1 win, Cádiz 0, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Real Sociedad B — Cádiz What is xG?1.6–1.0
Real Sociedad B not to lose76%
Cádiz not to lose51%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes53%
Both teams to score: no47%
Total over 2.548%
Total under 2.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Real Sociedad B
  • Real Sociedad B goals
  • Cádiz goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatReal Sociedad BCádiz
Goals scored per match1.31.3
Goals conceded per match2.01.4
xG per match1.401.09
Opponents’ xG1.551.47
Shots14.010.9
On target4.33.2
Corners4.54.3
Cards3.33.1
Possession, %4547

Averages per match: Real Sociedad B — the last 10, Cádiz — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Real Sociedad B

  • 31.10Girona1:0
  • 24.10away · Las Palmas0:1
  • 17.10Almería2:4
  • 10.10away · Celta Fortuna1:4
  • 04.10Granada2:3

Cádiz

  • 02.11away · Mallorca1:2
  • 29.10away · Xerez3:1
  • 25.10AD Ceuta FC3:1
  • 18.10away · Granada0:2
  • 11.10Sporting Gijón0:1

Head to head

  • 23.02.2026Cádiz — Real Sociedad B0:2
  • 07.09.2025Real Sociedad B — Cádiz3:3

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
17Leganés1233610–20-1012
18Real Sociedad B1232715–22-711
19, RelegationCádiz1224615–16-110
20, RelegationFC Andorra1131715–20-510

Season 2026/27

Full table

Segunda Division on the same day

  • SabadellGranadapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
  • CastellónEldensepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.0
  • TenerifeMallorcapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →