Segunda Division, round 15 · Saturday, 21 November, 16:00 (UTC+3)

Sabadell — Granada

Model prediction for 21 November

Sabadell44%

Draw29%

Granada27%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Sabadell are slightly stronger: 44% against 27%, draw 29%.

2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 48%.

Why

By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

League table: Sabadell — No. 10, 17 pts; Granada — No. 4, 23 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
Granada: 5 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Sabadell — Granada What is xG?		1.3–1.0
Sabadell not to lose		73%
Granada not to lose		56%
No draw		71%
Both teams to score: yes		48%
Both teams to score: no		52%
Total over 2.5		41%
Total under 2.5		59%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Sabadell
Sabadell goals
Granada goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Sabadell	Granada
Goals scored per match	1.2	1.8
Goals conceded per match	1.1	1.4
xG per match	1.46	1.73
Opponents’ xG	1.09	1.29
Shots	15.3	14.9
On target	4.4	4.3
Corners	5.2	4.6
Cards	2.8	1.8
Possession, %	47	50

Averages per match: Sabadell — the last 10, Granada — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Sabadell

31.10away · Albacete1:2
25.10Tenerife1:1
18.10away · Burgos CF0:1
10.10away · AD Ceuta FC2:1
04.10FC Andorra0:0

Granada

01.11away · Eldense2:0
29.10away · Cieza3:0
23.10Real Valladolid2:1
18.10Cádiz2:0
12.10away · Burgos CF1:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
3, Promotion play-offs	Eibar	12	7	2	3	21–14	+7	23
4, Promotion play-offs	Granada	12	7	2	3	20–14	+6	23
5, Promotion play-offs	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	15–7	+8	22
9	Real Oviedo	12	5	3	4	17–15	+2	18
10	Sabadell	12	4	5	3	12–11	+1	17
11	Las Palmas	12	5	2	5	17–21	-4	17

Season 2026/27

Full table

Segunda Division on the same day

18:15
Real Sociedad BCádizpreliminary
492724
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
20:30
CastellónEldensepreliminary
642214
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.0
23:00
TenerifeMallorcapreliminary
303139
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →