French Ligue 2, round 11 · Monday, 2 November, MSK
Red Star — Nancy
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Red Star are clear favourites: 50% against 22% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Red Star are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Red Star — Nancy What is xG? | 1.5–1.0 | |
| Red Star not to lose | 78% | |
| Nancy not to lose | 50% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Red Star
- Red Star goals
- Nancy goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 10.10away · Clermont Foot3:2
- 19.09away · Guingamp3:1
- 14.09Metz1:0
- 04.09away · Laval2:1
- 29.08Reims1:4
Head to head
- 13.02.2026Red Star — Nancy2:1
- 19.09.2025Nancy — Red Star0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Promotion | Saint-Étienne | 8 | 6 | +13 | 19 |
| 2, Promotion | Red Star | 8 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 3, Promotion play-offs | Montpellier | 8 | 4 | +3 | 15 |
| 4, Promotion play-offs | Reims | 8 | 3 | +6 | 14 |
| 5, Promotion play-offs | Nancy | 8 | 4 | +2 | 13 |
| 6 | Annecy FC | 8 | 4 | +1 | 13 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →