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French Ligue 2, round 11 · Monday, 2 November, (UTC+3) · Stade Auguste-Delaune

Reims — Sochaux

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Reims48%
Draw27%
Sochaux25%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Reims to win (48%), came true.

Reims are clear favourites: 48% against 25% for the opponent, draw 27%.

2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 54%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Reims are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
  • Reims are 233 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • Reims: unbeaten in 5; Sochaux: winless in 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Reims — Sochaux What is xG?1.6–1.1
Reims not to lose75%
Sochaux not to lose52%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes54%
Both teams to score: no46%
Total over 2.550%
Total under 2.550%

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Match events

  1. 6′Sambou Soumano · Reims1:0
  2. 11′Yaya Fofana · Reims2:0
  3. 32′Daouda Guindo · Reims
  4. 34′Élie N'Gatta · Sochaux
  5. 35′Mathis Clairicia · Sochaux
  6. 51′Julien Masson · Sochaux
  7. 82′John Patrick · Reims
Substitutions (9)
  1. 63′Seydou Dembele ↔ Arone Gadou · Reims
  2. 63′Victor Lobry ↔ Jonathan Mexique · Sochaux
  3. 63′John Patrick ↔ Theo Deflorenne · Reims
  4. 64′Boubacar Fofana ↔ Landry Nomel · Sochaux
  5. 72′Samy Baghdadi ↔ Mathis Clairicia · Sochaux
  6. 73′Sergio Akieme ↔ Mohamed Daramy · Reims
  7. 73′Youssef El Kachati ↔ Sambou Soumano · Reims
  8. 73′Mohamed Toure ↔ Dylan Tavares · Sochaux
  9. 88′Armel Zohouri ↔ Jean Mambuku · Reims

Match statistics

ReimsSochaux
  • 1.51Expected goals (xG)0.99
  • 47Possession, %53
  • 11Shots15
  • 5On target2
  • 1Big chances0
  • 3Corners9
  • 11Fouls12
  • 1Offsides2
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0

Lineups

Minutes — how long the player played, if under 90; on the right — the player’s match rating.

Reims

  1. GKTom Hülsmann6.9
  2. DFDaouda Guindo7.3
  3. DFSamuel Kotto7.4
  4. DFElie N'Tamon7.6
  5. DFJean Mambuku88′7.5
  6. MFYaya Fofana8.8
  7. MFThéo Leoni7.6
  8. MFTheo Deflorenne63′6.5
  9. FWMohamed Daramy73′6.7
  10. FWSambou Soumano73′7.4
  11. FWArone Gadou63′7.3
Came on (5)
  1. DFSergio Akieme17′6.4
  2. MFJohn Patrick27′6.7
  3. DFArmel Zohouri2′
  4. FWYoussef El Kachati17′6.0
  5. MFSeydou Dembele27′6.2

Sochaux

  1. GKMehdi Jeannin6.4
  2. DFDalangunypole Gomis6.6
  3. DFMathieu Peybernes6.3
  4. DFÉlie N'Gatta6.7
  5. DFDylan Tavares73′5.8
  6. MFJulien Masson6.8
  7. MFJonathan Mexique63′6.4
  8. MFHonoré Bayanginisa7.1
  9. FWMathis Clairicia72′6.1
  10. FWBenjamin Gomel6.8
  11. FWLandry Nomel64′6.2
Came on (4)
  1. FWBoubacar Fofana26′5.9
  2. MFVictor Lobry27′6.4
  3. MFSamy Baghdadi18′5.9
  4. DFMohamed Toure17′6.2

Form

Reims

  • 26.10away · Boulogne1:1
  • 16.10Dijon4:2
  • 10.10away · Nantes0:0
  • 18.09Montpellier1:1
  • 11.09away · Nancy2:1

Sochaux

  • 23.10Annecy FC1:3
  • 17.10away · Metz2:3
  • 09.10Boulogne1:1
  • 18.09away · Laval1:1
  • 12.09Nantes1:0

Head to head

  • 21.01.2024Sochaux — Reims2:2

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
3, Promotion play-offsNancy1171316–9+722
4, Promotion play-offsReims1156022–12+1021
5, Promotion play-offsPau1162316–11+520
12Dunkerque1133514–17-312
13Sochaux112548–14-611
14Boulogne111737–8-110

Season 2026/27

Full table

Next matches

  • GrenobleReims6 November · Ligue 2
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.5
  • NancySochaux6 November · Ligue 2
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7

Ligue 2 on the same day

  • Red StarNancy
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:1.2.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →