Primera Nacional, playoff · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Deportivo Morón — Colegiales
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Deportivo Morón are clear favourites: 53% against 20% for the opponent, draw 28%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.3 in total, against a competition average of 1.9.
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Deportivo Morón are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- Deportivo Morón are 57 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Colegiales: unbeaten in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Deportivo Morón — Colegiales What is xG? | 1.5–0.8 | |
| Deportivo Morón not to lose | 80% | |
| Colegiales not to lose | 47% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
91 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Deportivo Morón
- Deportivo Morón goals
- Colegiales goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 31.10Ciudad de Bolívar2:0
- 25.10away · Almirante Brown0:1
- 18.10Club Atlético Mitre0:2
- 11.10away · Club Atlético Estudiantes0:2
- 03.10All Boys2:1
- 02.11away · San Martín de Tucumán0:0
- 25.10Atlético Rafaela1:1
- 17.10away · Agropecuario3:0
- 10.10Tristán Suárez0:0
- 04.10away · Atlético Güemes1:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Primera Nacional on the same day
- Godoy CruzTristán Suárezpreliminary4531241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
- ColónCA Ferrocarril Midlandpreliminary4531251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- Deportivo MadrynDeportivo Maipúpreliminary5925161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- Ferro Carril OesteGimnasia y Tiropreliminary4531241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- AtlantaClub Atlético Estudiantespreliminary5029211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- Gimnasia JujuyAlmirante Brownpreliminary5227201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- TemperleyCiudad de Bolívarpreliminary6126141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →